Florida Real Estate Market Outlook 2026

Florida continues to attract capital, population, and institutional interest at rates that outpace most U.S. markets. Our Florida origination team — led by VPs Scarlet Green and Jay Dhahan — provides a ground-level perspective on where opportunities lie.

Population growth remains the fundamental driver. Florida added over 365,000 residents in the past year, with the Miami, Tampa, and Orlando metros absorbing the bulk of inflow. This creates sustained demand across residential, commercial, and industrial real estate.

On the commercial side, industrial vacancy in Miami sits at just 5.7% with NNN rents averaging $16.04/SF. Net absorption hit 751K SF in Q1 alone, signaling continued strength in logistics and warehouse demand.

The build-to-rent segment is emerging as one of the most attractive asset classes, with institutional capital flowing into purpose-built rental communities across the state. Project sizes range from $5M to $100M+.

For investors and developers active in Florida, Bender-Carey Capital offers bridge loans, construction financing, DSCR rental loans, and portfolio consolidation products — all available through our Miami-based origination team.